information service with rainfall and temperature outlooks for up to
four months ahead over the whole globe. This is the first time the
weather service is using its expertise to let the public know the
Updated each month, these experimental forecasts provide the
probability that temperature and rainfall (averaged over a
three-month period) will be above or below the climate norm for
various regions. For the UK, the predicted outlook to the end of July
is that it is likely to be warmer than normal over most areas, but
wetter than normal over the western parts of the country.
Mike Davey, manager of the Met Office's seasonal prediction group,
said: 'These are very different from a daily weather forecast which
gives information for a particular place and time: with seasonal
forecasts we provide likelihoods for conditions averaged over a few
The seasonal outlooks are formulated using the Met Office's
state-of-the-art forecasting models and are available via the Met
Office website .