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New research has shown that the introduction of Central European Time would have little or no effect on the total n...
New research has shown that the introduction of Central European Time would have little or no effect on the total number of road accident casualties in Scotland. This was revealed today by Scottish secretary Michael Forsyth who said:

'It is misleading for proponents of John Butterfill's bill to claim that there would be a significant reduction in road accident casualties in Scotland. Such claims are based on historical research which does not take full account of specific and current Scottish circumstances.

'Previous studies have been based on the 1968-71 British Summertime (BST) experiment and since then there have been great improvements to road design, streetlighting and other road safety measures. A more up-to-date, robust and sophisticated analysis of Scottish data has now been carried out by Scottish Office statisticians.

'This analysis examines all Scottish accidents over a recent five year period in terms of the season of the year, the time of day the accidents took place and the prevailing light conditions measured relative to more than 20 locations in Scotland.

'Preliminary conclusions, to be published shortly, will explain that the earlier GB analysis did not examine comprehensive Scottish data and did not take account of specific light and dark or weather conditions in Scotland.

'The results of our new analysis will show that the effect of a change to Central European Time would be broadly neutral in terms of total road accident casualties in Scotland.'

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